Top Prospect
Alert - Travis Hafner
DOB: 6/3/77, Age: 25, Bats/Throws: L/R,
Height: 6’3’’, Weight: 240. Acquired: Indians - Traded with Aaron Myette
from Texas for Einar Diaz and Ryan Drese on 12/6/02; Drafted by Rangers in
the 31st Round of the 1996 Draft (Cowley County CC, KA). 2001 Stats: (AA -
Tulsa) .282 AVG, 323 AB, 25 2B, 0 3B, 20 HR, 3 SB, 59 BB, 82 K, .393 OBP,
.545 SLG. 2002 Stats: (AAA - Oklahoma City) .342 AVG, 401 AB, 22 2B, 1 3B,
21 HR, 2 SB, 79 BB, 76 K, .463 OBP, .559 SLG; (Maj. - Rangers) .242 AVG,
62 AB, 4 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR, 0 SB, 8 BB, 15 K, .329 OBP, .387
SLG.
In the shrewd deal for
Travis Hafner, the Indians cheaply acquired a slightly lesser version of
their former first baseman Jim Thome, and at the same time, created space
for one of their other top prospects in Victor Martinez. Hafner, who will
be 26 in June, is a bit old to be both a top prospect and a Rookie of the
Year candidate, but rest assured, he is certainly both. Hafner is an
incredibly strong left-handed hitter with power to all fields, cut right
from the same cloth as Thome and Jason Giambi. His power is his most
readily apparent tool, as he has hit 20 or more homers at each of his past
four stops in the minors. He can hit them off any pitch, in most zones, to
all fields. In short, he has legitimate big-league power. Hafner combines
his ability to hit to all fields with solid plate discipline, a mix that
certainly can result in a high batting average. He’s hit above .340 two
out of the past three years, (his other season was cut short by a wrist
injury) so I think it is safe to say that a .300 batting average and 20
homers are not out of the question for his rookie campaign, if he gets 500
at bats. On the bases, Hafner is below average. He is not a
station-to-station runner just yet, but anyone who witnessed his attempt
for a cycle-completing triple last season would not put “nimble” or
“swift” anywhere near a comment on Travis Hafner. In the field, Hafner is
also below average. He is reasonably surehanded, but his range is rather
limited. He actually looks like someone who needs more practice at first,
which is surprising given every comment made regarding his work ethic.
He’ll probably play a lot of first this season, but he certainly looks
like a future DH to me. The only major potential negative with Hafner is
his health. A wrist injury cut short his 2001 season, and the same thing
apparently shorted his winter-ball campaign this year, although that might
have been a smokescreen for the trade announcement. His early-season power
numbers will probably shed some light on the status of his wrist. Other
than that, Hafner is a solid acquisition for the Tribe.
The Indians are in the
midst of a retooling, one which happens to be occurring in a reasonably
weak division. This fact, of course, gives them the illusion that they are
closer to being a very good team than they actually are. I think their
offense is a bit ahead of their pitching staff, with Victor Martinez,
Hafner, Ben Broussard, Brandon Phillips, and Alex Escobar all young
(relatively) and showing potential. The rotation has Cliff Lee, Sabathia,
Ricardo Rodriguez, Brian Tallet, and Danys Baez (banished to the bullpen
for the time being) in a similar state. Mark Shapiro has done a nice job
getting the Indians geared up for another shot at AL Central domination,
but with Ken Williams shaking off the cobwebs in Chicago and the folks in
Minnesota beginning to utilize some of their organizational talent, the
competition is much stiffer than it was ten years ago. The Indians are
probably still looking at a third place finish this year, but could be in
the mix for 2004 or 2005. As far as Hafner goes, with DH seemingly
occupied by the aging wheels of Ellis Burks, he will probably start the
year at 1B in the bigs (although the Indians are making noises about
having a straight-up competition between Hafner and Broussard during the
spring). I expect that Hafner will perform up to league-average standards
at first, which should be enough to give the Indians a hitter for the
middle of their lineup. Breaking in this late, I wouldn’t expect a
fantastic career for him, but he could put together a solid ten years if
everything falls right. Hafner does indeed draw his share of comparisons
to Thome, but I don’t think he has quite that much power. He might, but
something more along the lines of a cross between Thome and the
left-handed part of David Segui’s game might be closer. Either way,
Cleveland has themselves a hitter for the immediate future, even if he
does end up as the DH within a year or two.
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