DOB: 6/29/80, Age: 22, Height: 6’1’’, Weight: 190, Bats:
R, Throws: R. Acquired: Expos - Traded with Sun Kim and a PTBNL from the
Red Sox on 7/30/02 for Cliff Floyd; Red Sox - Signed out of Korea in 1999.
2001 Stats: (Low-A - Augusta) 3-2, 2.04 ERA, 75 IP, 56 H, 3 HR, 18 BB, 79
K; (High-A - Sarasota) 5-2, 1.68 ERA, 48 IP, 28 H, 1 HR, 18 BB, 56 K. 2002
Stats: (AA - Trenton) 7-7, 4.39 ERA, 109 IP, 106 H, 11 HR, 37 BB, 116 K;
(AA - Harrisburg) 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 5 IP, 5 H, 0 HR, 0 BB, 5 K.
Seung Song is probably the best thing that showed up in return for two,
possibly three top-50 prospects and a brief flirtation with competitive
relevance, which may say more about what happens when smart front offices
know what you are planning than it does about Song’s ability. Song, a free
agent signee from Korea back in 1999, is a solidly built right-hander who
relies on both stuff and deception to succeed. Song’s best pitch is
probably his tailing fastball, which he throws around 90 mph. The
combination of the movement, moderate velocity, and Song’s deceptive
delivery make his fastball a difficult pitch to strike cleanly. His
curveball is nearly at the same level, and his changeup has improved
immensely, although it has a similar tailing action to his fastball (the
more variation in the style of pitches, the better…big league hitters are
extremely adaptable creatures). It seems to me that, run scoring wise,
Song got the short end of the stick last season, because his peripherals
are quite good. His control is easily good enough for him to succeed, with
a bit better than 3.0 K/BB last year, and he keeps the ball down
reasonably well (0.9 HR/9). In short, Song has basically everything he
needs to be a middle of the rotation starter in the majors. Unfortunately,
he has already been shut down twice in three years: once for elbow
soreness, and again last season for shoulder soreness. Injuries are just
part of the projection for pitchers, and Song hasn’t reached 125 innings
in a season yet. Until he can get through one season without shutting it
down, I can’t give Song the credit that he may deserve.
A summation of the Expos’ Colon and Floyd experiments: Expos send
Brandon Phillips, Cliff Lee, Grady Sizemore, Don Levinski, Carl Pavano,
Graeme Lloyd, Justin Wayne, Lee Stevens, Mike Mordecai, and Jorge Nunez in
return for Song, Sun-Woo Kim, Claudio Vargas, Tim Drew, Wilton Guerrero,
Orlando Hernandez, Rocky Biddle, Jeff Liefer, and $3.5 million. Five top
ten prospects for their organizations, Pavano, and some spare parts for
two top ten prospects, a pitcher whose age is going to be in question
permanently, two interesting mediocre players in Biddle and Liefer, and
some other spare parts and a little cash. Oh, and for renting Colon and
Floyd for about two months combined while MLB tried to figure out what to
do with a team that, quite frankly, deserved better. If they had kept
Colon and Floyd, they would have an excellent rotation and three
middle-of-the-order threats to build around, which is enough to be
moderately competitive with a little work. If they had done nothing, they
would have a loaded farm system to either utilize or bargain with.
Instead, they now have a bottom tier farm system and a mid-pack team with
very little hope of retaining their own free agents as their contracts
expire. In short, they are dead in the water, and with them, the hope of
baseball surviving in Montreal is likely dead as well. The Expos still
have a decent rotation, and a great offensive core to build around in
Guerrero and Vidro. Behind the projected rotation of Vazquez, Armas, El
Duque, Day, and Ohka, Song is probably the next worthwhile option in the
system. I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him show up in Montreal
sometime in the second half of the season, health permitting of course.
Song strikes me as a Ryan Dempster/John Burkett type of pitcher, with
perhaps a bit more upside than that. In essence, if he can make it through
the next few years healthy, he should be a serviceable #3 starter. The
chances of good health are not great for him, but he is a pitcher, after
all.