Top Prospect
Alert - Billy Traber
DOB: 9/18/79, Age: 22, Height:
6’3’’, Weight: 190, Bats: L, Throws: L. Acquired: Mets - Drafted in the
1st Round of the 2000 Draft (Loyola Marymount Univ.). 2000 Stats: DNP -
Signed 9/1/00. 2001 Stats: (High-A - St. Lucie) 6-5, 2.66 ERA, 102 IP, 85
H, 2 HR, 23 BB, 79 K; (AA - Binghamton) 4-3, 4.43 ERA, 43 IP, 50 H, 4 HR,
13 BB, 45 K; (AAA - Norfolk) 0-1, 1.29 ERA, 7 IP, 5 H, 0 HR, 0 BB, 0
K.
Billy Traber is a five-pitch lefty for the Indians that was
included in the Roberto Alomar trade with the Mets. His initial signing
was delayed last season when a physical turned up some old damage to the
MCL in his pitching elbow, so Traber ended up missing out on the 2000
season. (and an extra $1.66 mill.) He really mirrored Brandon Claussen of
the Yanks on his rapid ascent through the system this year: same build,
same age, similar levels of success. Traber tore through the FSL,
alternatively dominated and struggled in the Eastern League, and had one
serviceable start for Norfolk at AAA. Even at three levels, the Mets
limited him to 152 innings, and the elbow problems have not resurfaced at
this point. Traber has three plus pitches in his arsenal: a fastball that
he throws between 88-93 mph, a "slurvy slider", as a Mets’ scout termed
it, and a nasty splitter. Traber also throws a different curveball
(without nearly as much break) and a changeup, both of which need some
polish at this point. Billy has excellent control, which is unusual for a
fastball/split-based pitcher, at least in the youthful part of their
career. In fact, his combination of velocity, control, and penchant for
working the bottom part of the strike zone is nearly unprecedented in a
lefthander. He hasn’t been nearly as impressive statistically as many
pitching prospects thus far, but that combination of skills lends itself
to a very high ceiling.
The Indians have two good, young pitchers in Baez and
Sabathia, one horse in Colon, one old (and not-so-effective) lefty in
Finley, and one enigma in Jaret Wright. Traber will likely start 2002 in
AAA for the Injuns, and could very well take Finley’s or Wright’s spot in
the rotation sometime during the year. If, as I suspect, the Indians are
not in the playoff race in ’02, they may let Traber maintain his rookie
status for 2003. Either way, I’d expect him to be taking a regular turn
for Cleveland 16 months from now. His ceiling is extremely high, but his
likely peak level of performance might be similar to a latter-stage Ron
Guidry (after a few mph disappeared from the fastball): fewer strikeouts
than in the minors, more homers, but still very few walks. In Cleveland’s
rotation of the future, that may only be good enough for the #3 or #4
position, but it doesn’t mean he won’t be a solid major
leaguer.
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